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Market Sizing skill

Estimate market size using TAM, SAM, and SOM with top-down and bottom-up approaches. Use when sizing a market opportunity, estimating addressable market, preparing for investor pitches, or evaluating market entry.

$npx skills add phuryn/pm-skills --skill market-sizing
GitHub stars
27,849
Pack installs
245k
Alyn Score
75/99
Updated
2 days ago
License
MIT

Install Market Sizing

Pick your agent. Every command is ready to paste.

$npx skills add phuryn/pm-skills --skill market-sizing

The open skills CLI detects your agents (Claude Code, Cursor, Codex and 70+ more) and installs to the right folder. Add -g to install globally.

01

Install it

Run the command above, or upload the folder in Claude.

02

Ask naturally

Describe the task. Your agent loads market-sizing when the request matches its description.

03

Name it if needed

If it does not trigger, say “use the market-sizing skill”. In Codex, type $market-sizing.

The skill itself

SKILL.md

GitHub

Estimate Market Size (TAM, SAM, SOM)

Purpose

Estimate the Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) for a product. Includes both top-down and bottom-up estimation approaches, growth projections, and key assumptions to validate.

Instructions

You are a strategic market analyst specializing in market sizing, opportunity assessment, and growth forecasting.

Input

Your task is to estimate the market size for $ARGUMENTS within the specified market constraints (geography, industry vertical, customer type, etc.).

If the user provides market research, industry reports, financial data, or competitor information, read and analyze them directly. Use web search to find current market data, industry reports, and growth projections.

Analysis Steps (Think Step by Step)

  1. Market Definition: Define the market boundaries — what problem space, which customer segments, what geography or constraints apply
  2. Top-Down Estimation: Start from total industry size and narrow to the relevant slice
  3. Bottom-Up Estimation: Build from unit economics (customers × price × frequency) to cross-validate
  4. SAM Scoping: Identify which portion of TAM is realistically serviceable given product capabilities, channels, and constraints
  5. SOM Estimation: Estimate achievable share in the next 1-3 years based on competitive position and go-to-market capacity
  6. Growth Projection: Forecast how TAM, SAM, and SOM may evolve over the next 2-3 years
  7. Assumption Mapping: Surface the key assumptions underlying each estimate

Output Structure

Market Definition

  • Problem space and customer need
  • Geographic and segment boundaries
  • Key constraints or scoping decisions

TAM (Total Addressable Market)

  • Top-down estimate with sources and reasoning
  • Bottom-up estimate for cross-validation
  • Reconciliation of the two approaches
  • Current TAM value (annual revenue opportunity)

SAM (Serviceable Addressable Market)

  • Which portion of TAM the product can realistically serve
  • Constraints: geography, language, channels, product capabilities, pricing tier
  • SAM as percentage of TAM with reasoning

SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market)

  • Realistic share achievable in 1-3 years
  • Basis: competitive position, go-to-market capacity, current traction
  • SOM as percentage of SAM with reasoning

Market Summary Table

Metric Current Estimate 2-3 Year Projection
TAM
SAM
SOM

Growth Drivers & Trends

  • Key factors that could expand or contract the market
  • Technology, regulatory, demographic, or behavioral shifts
  • Emerging segments or adjacent markets

Key Assumptions & Risks

  • Critical assumptions behind each estimate (numbered)
  • Confidence level for each (high / medium / low)
  • How to validate the most uncertain assumptions
  • What would materially change the estimates

Best Practices

  • Always provide both top-down and bottom-up estimates to triangulate
  • Use web search for current industry data, analyst reports, and market benchmarks
  • Cite sources for market data — avoid unsupported numbers
  • Be explicit about assumptions; label estimates vs. data
  • Distinguish between value-based (revenue) and volume-based (users/units) sizing
  • Consider currency and purchasing power parity for international markets
  • Flag where estimates have wide confidence intervals
  • Recommend specific data sources or research to sharpen estimates

Further Reading

Tips for Market Sizing

  • • Start a fresh session after installing so your agent picks up the new skill.
  • • It is part of a pack with 40 skills. Install only the ones you need with --skill to keep triggers precise.
  • • If two skills overlap, mention the one you want by name.

Questions about Market Sizing

What does the Market Sizing skill do?

Estimate market size using TAM, SAM, and SOM with top-down and bottom-up approaches. Use when sizing a market opportunity, estimating addressable market, preparing for investor pitches, or evaluating market entry.

How do I install Market Sizing?

Run "npx skills add phuryn/pm-skills --skill market-sizing" in your project. The skills CLI installs it for Claude Code, Cursor, Codex and 70+ other agents. In Claude on the web, upload the skill folder as a ZIP under Customize > Skills.

Does Market Sizing work in Cursor and Codex?

Yes. Market Sizing uses the open SKILL.md format, so it works in Claude Code, Claude, Cursor, OpenAI Codex, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot and other agents that support agent skills.

Is Market Sizing free?

Market Sizing is open source on GitHub under the MIT license. It is free to install; check the license before commercial use.

Who made Market Sizing?

Market Sizing is published by phuryn in the phuryn/pm-skills repository, together with 39 other skills.

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